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Table 9-3: Example Trade-Off Analysis Summary


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Measure

No Build – Planned expansion of existing service

TSM – Express bus with park and ride lots

LRT Build 1 – 13 mile at grade line, 3 miles street running in CBD

LRT Build 2 – 12.5 mile at grade line, 2.5 mile tunnel in CBD

Project Cost ($YOE)

$45 million

$125 million

$750 million

$950 million

Annual operating and maintenance costs

$2.5 million

$14 million

$ 18 million

$17.5 million

Annualized Cost

$11.5 million

$35 million

$136 million

$153 million

Measures of Effectiveness

Daily ridership in study corridor

24,000

32,000

41,000

44,000

Daily system-wide transit ridership (forecast year)

85,000

92,000

103,000

106,000

Annual user benefits (hrs of travel time)

Vs. No-Build

Vs. TSM

NA

NA

6,200,000 hrs

NA

13,300,000 hrs

7,100,000 hrs

14,000,000 hrs

7,800,000 hrs

Average transit trip time in corridor

37 minutes

31 minutes

24 minutes

20 minutes

Accessibility: Jobs within 30 minutes travel time

Highway

Transit

180,000

95,000

195,000

120,000

198,000

130,000

199,000

133,000

Project Impacts

Value of added development in corridor over 20 years

$2.2 billion

$2.25 billion

$2.35 billion

$2.5 billion

Property takings

0

45 homes

1 commercial

125 homes

13 commercial

2 industrial sites

45 homes

5 commercial

2 industrial sites

Noise and vibration

NA

Localized noise impacts on 58 properties

Localized noise impacts on 40 properties

10 structures within vibration screening distance

8 structures within vibration screening distance

Pollutant emissions reduction vs. no-build

NA

0.2% reduction

0.3% reduction

0.35% reduction

Consistency with local land-use policies

Not consistent with local plans which recommend fixed guideway transit connection in corridor.

Consistent with local plans to improve transit service in corridor

Supports local plans to improve transit service and concentrate economic development in planned station areas.

Supports local plans to improve transit service and concentrate economic development in planned station areas.

Measure of Cost-Effectiveness

Cost-effectiveness ($Annual/user benefits)

vs. No-Build

vs. TSM

 

NA

NA

 

$5.65

NA

 

$10.22

$19.15

 

$10.93

$19.61

Financial Feasibility

Available funds

Additional funding required

Source of additional funds

$ 250 million (local)

NA

NA

$ 250 million (local)

NA

NA

$ 625 million (local plus 50% federal)

$125 million

Tax referendum

$ 725 million (local plus 50% federal)

$225 million

Tax referendum

Equity Considerations

Characteristics of affected communities

Travel benefits by income group/location

 

Distribution of funding costs between users and non-users

Middle/upper income

Lower cost buses serve predominantly lower and middle income passengers

Users pay 25% of costs

General sales tax – 75%

Middle/upper income

Slightly higher costs to existing lower/middle income riders, additional middle income riders drawn to improved service

Users pay 30% of costs

General sales tax – 70%

Middle/upper income

Middle/upper income suburban communities benefit most, higher costs for existing riders, improved suburban job access for city residents

Users pay 35% of costs

General sales tax – 65%

Middle/upper income

Middle/upper income suburban communities benefit most, higher costs for existing riders, improved suburban job access for city residents

Users pay 35% of costs

General sales tax – 65%