Table 9: Fare Revenue Forecasts for Proposed Project and Existing System, Current Dollars (Millions)

Fiscal Year

Actual 1994

Actual 1995

Actual 1996

Actual 1997

Actual 1998

Budget 1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Trips – Existing Bus

38.2

39.3

40.3

40.8

41.9

43.1

39.7

39.4

39.8

69.0

39.7

40.9

39.3

Trips – Existing Rail

4.8

5.0

5.2

5.2

5.6

5.7

14.7

16.1

17.0

19.1

19.4

19.2

21.8

Trips – New Start

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

0.9

Total Ridership

43.0

44.3

45.5

46.1

47.5

48.8

54.4

55.5

56.8

58.15

59.1

61.1

62.0

Annual % Change

 

3.0%

2.7%

1.3%

3.0%

2.7%

11.5%

2.0%

2.3%

2.3%

1.7%

1.7%

3.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fare Revenues-Existing Bus

$ 30.7

$ 31.6

$ 32.7

$ 34.6

$ 36.1

$ 38.1

$ 32.8

$ 33.7

$ 34.8

$ 33.1

$ 35.0

$ 37.6

$ 37.6

Fare Revenues-Existing Rail

$ 4.8

$ 5.0

$ 5.2

$ 5.6

$ 5.9

$ 6.0

$ 16.2

$ 17.8

$ 18.7

$ 22.0

$ 22.3

$ 22.1

$ 25.1

Fare Revenues-New Start

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

$ 1.0

Total Fare Revenue

$ 35.5

$ 36.6

$ 37.9

$ 40.2

$ 42.0

$ 44.1

$ 49.0

$ 51.4

$ 53.5

$ 55.1

$ 57.3

$ 59.6

$ 63.7

Annual % Change

 

3.2%

3.4%

6.0%

4.6%

5.1%

11.0%

5.0%

4.0%

3.05

4.0%

4.0%

6.8%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Fare

$ 0.83

$ 0.83

$ 0.83

$ 0.87

$ 0.88

$ 0.90

$ 0.90

$ 0.93

$ 0.94

$ 0.95

$ 0.97

$ 0.99

$ 1.03

Annual % Change

 

0.2%

0.7%

4.4%

1.5%

2.2%

0.0%

2.8%

1.6%

0.7%

2.2%

2.2%

3.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fiscal Year

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Trips-Existing Bus

38.9

38.5

38.5

39.2

39.6

40.0

40.5

41.0

41.5

42.1

42.7

43.4

44.0

Trips-Existing Rail

22.8

23.7

25.0

25.7

26.6

27.6

28.5

29.5

30.4

31.4

32.3

33.3

34.2

Trips-New Start

6.3

6.5

6.7

6.9

7.1

7.3

7.5

7.8

8.0

8.2

8.5

8.7

9.0

Total Ridership

68.0

68.7

70.2

71.7

73.3

74.9

76.6

78.9

80.0

81.7

83.5

85.4

87.3

Annual % Change

9.7%

1.0%

2.2%

2.2%

2.2%

2.2%

2.2%

2.2%

2.2%

2.2%

2.2%

2.2%

2.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fare Revenues-Existing Bus

$ 33.4

$ 37.1

$ 38.3

$ 40.3

$ 38.7

$ 40.5

$ 42.4

$ 44.4

$ 42.8

$ 45.0

$ 47.4

$ 47.8

$ 50.4

Fare Revenues-Existing Rail

$ 28.5

$ 29.7

$ 31.2

$ 32.1

$ 35.9

$ 37.2

$ 38.5

$ 39.8

$ 44.1

$ 45.5

$ 46.9

$ 49.9

$ 51.4

Fare Revenues-New Start

$ 7.9

$ 8.1

$ 8.4

$ 8.6

$ 9.6

$ 9.9

$ 10.2

$ 10.5

$ 11.6

$ 11.9

$ 12.3

$ 13.1

$ 13.5

Total Fare Revenue

$ 69.8

$ 74.9

$ 77.9

$ 81.0

$ 84.2

$ 87.6

$ 91.1

$ 94.7

$ 98.5

$ 102.5

$ 106.6

$ 110.8

$ 115.3

Annual % Change

8.8%

7.2%

4.0%

4.0%

4.0%

4.0%

4.0%

4.0%

4.0%

4.0%

4.0%

4.0%

4.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Fare

$ 1.03

$ 1.09

$ 1.11

$ 1.13

$ 1.15

$ 1.17

$ 1.19

$ 1.21

$ 1.23

$ 1.25

$ 1.28

$ 1.30

$ 1.32

Annual % Change

0.0%

5.8%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

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